MISH'S
Global Economic
Trend Analysis

Recent Posts

Saturday, August 30, 2014 11:58 PM


More Mindless Sanctions? Merkel a Liar or a Fool?


As the tide in the Ukraine civil war turns, the EU threatens Russia with more mindless sanctions.

Bloomberg reports EU Vows More Russia Sanctions If War in Ukraine Worsens.

European Union leaders agreed to impose tougher sanctions on Russia, possibly targeting energy and finance, if the war in Ukraine worsens.

Leaders early today gave the European Commission a week to deliver proposals for the penalties. The EU left open the precise trigger for further sanctions, contrasting with a four-point ultimatum issued to Russian President Vladimir Putin on June 27 that preceded the latest curbs.

“We are close to the point of no return,” Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko told reporters at the EU summit. “Thousands of foreign troops and hundreds of foreign tanks are now on the territory of Ukraine.” 

Earlier, EU leaders selected Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk as the bloc’s next president and Italian Foreign Minister Federica Mogherini as chief diplomat after a bitter contest that showed the 28-nation EU’s divisions on how to deal with the Kremlin. Tusk has pushed for tougher sanctions on Russia while Mogherini has favored diplomacy. Leaders also met with Poroshenko.

The EU and the U.S. have already slapped visa bans and asset freezes on Russian individuals and companies, and since July have imposed steadily tougher sanctions targeting the country’s energy, finance and defense industries.

Merkel said the EU is looking at more measures to target Russia’s energy and finance industry.

Leaders disagreed about possible military assistance to Ukraine, with Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaite telling reporters before the meeting: “We need militarily to support and send military materials to Ukraine.”
Disagreements Everywhere

The entire, yet unstated, gist of the above article is there are disagreements everywhere: On sanctions, on military aid, on diplomacy vs. sanctions, and on triggers.

If this is a bluff, it is easily transparent. If it's not a bluff, it's economically stupid.

Merkel a Liar or a Fool?

Who is fooling whom when it comes to Merkel's claims "the EU is looking at more measures to target Russia’s energy and finance industry."

Merkel is either a liar or a fool. I believe Merkel knows full well sanctions are a losing game.

Target Russian energy and Russia will likely shut off natural gas supplies to Europe.

It was reckless enough to suggest that possibility in April. This is September. Winter is on the horizon. Want to risk it now?

My guess is that Merkel is a liar. If you prefer, call it an "obvious bluff".

Politically, Merkel has played her hand very well at every turn, with countless lies, bluffs, reversals, and opportunistic moves along the way, on countless eurozone issues.

Why should this time be any different?

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Last 10 Posts


Copyright 2009 Mike Shedlock. All Rights Reserved.
View My Stats