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Monday, April 14, 2014 4:28 PM

GMO 7-Year Real Return Forecast: US Equities Negative For 7 Years

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A 7-Year Global Real Return Equity Forecasts chart from GMO Asset Forecasts expresses how I feel. Click on link to see it.

Value and growth within large and small stocks, and REITs, as of March 31, 2014

Estimated returns are negative for US large caps, US small caps, and REITs for every period shorter than seven years.

If accurate (and I believe it is), what will that do to pension plans? For further discussion, please see LA Commission Studies Pension Crisis, Recommends New Commission; Bankruptcy Inevitable.

For a followup, also see Reader Question on the Inevitable Los Angeles Bankruptcy; What About Chicago?

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

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