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Sunday, December 08, 2013 2:54 PM


Young Voters Would Recall Obama, Congress, If Possible; Only 18% Think Obamacare will Make Things Better


The Washington Post reports Majority of youngest voters would recall Obama.

Young people, who played a major role in putting President Obama in the White House in 2008 and keeping him there after 2012, now say they would vote to recall the president if given the chance.

A new Harvard University Institute of Politics poll shows 52 percent of Americans between the ages of 18 and 24 say they would vote to recall Obama. Among young people aged 18 to 29, the number is 47 percent.
I am not sure how the Washington Post calculated the first breakdown unless they had more access to the data. Let's head straight to the Harvard Survey of Young Americans’ Attitudes toward Politics and Public Service.

Here are some questions I found particularly interesting.

6. For whom did you vote for president in 2012?
Barack Obama ................................................ 55%
Mitt Romney .................................................. 33%
Someone else ................................................. 4%
Don’t remember ............................................. 1%
Decline to answer ........................................... 6%

7. If you could re-cast your 2012 vote for president today, for whom would you vote?
Barack Obama ................................................ 46%
Mitt Romney .................................................. 35%
Someone else ................................................. 13%
Decline to answer ........................................... 7%

11. Do you consider yourself to be politically engaged or politically active?
Yes ............................................................. 22%
No .............................................................. 75%
Decline to answer ........................................ 3%

12. All in all, do you think things in the nation are...?
Generally headed in the right direction .......... 14%
Off on the wrong track ................................... 49%
Not sure what direction country is headed in . 34%
Decline to answer ........................................... 3%

13. Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or are you not a supporter of the Tea Party movement?
Supporter ........................................................ 11%
Not a supporter ............................................... 45%
Not sure .......................................................... 41%
Refused .......................................................... 4%

15. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of Barack Obama as president.
Approve .......................................................... 41%
Disapprove ..................................................... 54%
Decline to answer ........................................... 5%

Some questions were split between asking about "Obamacare" or the "Affordable Care Act". Answers were similar regardless of the term used.

23. Do you approve or disapprove of [The Affordable Care Act/Obamacare], the comprehensive health reform package that President Obama signed into law in 2010?

A. The Affordable Care Act.
(n=1,042)
Approve .......................................................... 39%
Disapprove ..................................................... 56%
Refused .......................................................... 5%

B. Obamacare
(n=1,047)
Approve .......................................................... 38%
Disapprove ..................................................... 57%
Refused .......................................................... 5% 

24. Do you believe that your quality of care will get better, get worse or stay about the same under [The Affordable Care Act/Obamacare]?

A. The Affordable Care Act.
(n=1,042)
Get better ........................................................ 17%
Get worse ....................................................... 44%
Stay about the same ....................................... 34%

B. Obamacare
(n=1,047)
Get better ........................................................ 18%
Get worse ....................................................... 40%
Stay about the same ....................................... 37%

25. Do you believe that your amount you pay for care will increase, decrease or stay about the same under [The Affordable Care Act/Obamacare]?

A. The Affordable Care Act.
(n=1,042)
Increase .......................................................... 50%
Decrease ......................................................... 10%
Stay about the same ....................................... 36%
Refused .......................................................... 4%

B. Obamacare
(n=1,047)
Increase .......................................................... 51%
Decrease ......................................................... 11%
Stay about the same ....................................... 34%
Refused .......................................................... 4%

26. After implementation of [The Affordable Care Act/Obamacare], many Americans will be eligible to purchase private health insurance plans through government run insurance exchanges. If you are eligible, how likely are you to enroll in insurance through an exchange?

[NOTE: If 18 to 25 include the clause “after you are no longer eligible to stay on your parents plan”]

A. The Affordable Care Act.
(n=1,042)
NET: Likely to Enroll .................................. 20%
Definitely will enroll ...................................... 8%
Probably will enroll ........................................ 12%
50-50 .............................................................. 28%

NET: Unlikely to Enroll .............................. 47%
Definitely will not enroll ................................ 27%
Probably will not enroll ................................. 20%
Refused .......................................................... 5%

B. Obamacare
(n=1,047)
NET: Likely to Enroll .................................. 22%
Definitely will enroll ...................................... 9%
Probably will enroll ........................................ 13%
50-50 .............................................................. 29%
NET: Unlikely to Enroll .............................. 45%
Definitely will not enroll ................................ 27%
Probably will not enroll ................................. 17%
Refused .......................................................... 5%

40. In May 2013, Edward Snowden, a contractor for the National Security Agency, started releasing classified documents to the media that demonstrated what he believed was an unethical collection of private data from US citizens by the US intelligence community. Based on what you know at this time,which of the following words best describes your view of Edward Snowden?

A patriot ........................................................ 22%
A traitor .......................................................... 22%
Not sure .......................................................... 52%
Refused .......................................................... 4%

41. If you found yourself in a position similar to that of Edward Snowden, would you release the classified documents to the media, or would you not release the documents?

Release .......................................................... 15%
Would not release .......................................... 31%
Not sure .......................................................... 50%
Refused .......................................................... 4%

If you could choose to recall and replace various elected officials today, would you recall:

48. Your member of Congress.
Yes ................................................................ 45%
No .................................................................. 45%
Refused .......................................................... 9%

49. All members of Congress.
Yes ................................................................ 52%
No .................................................................. 40%
Refuse ............................................................ 8%

50. Barack Obama.
Yes ................................................................ 47%
No .................................................................. 46%
Refused .......................................................... 7%

57. Do you have health insurance?
Yes, my employer provides it ........................ 27%
Yes, I am under 26 and covered by parents .. 35%
Yes, I have an individual or family plan ........ 12%
No, I am not enrolled in health insurance ...... 22%
Refused .......................................................... 4%

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com 

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